Nearly on cue, just days after Philip Klotzbach and the Tropical Meteorology Project at Colorado State announced a decrease in the seasonal forecast for Atlantic tropical cyclone activity, we've seen two systems develop in the Atlantic.
The NHC said Beryl could still be a hurricane when it reaches the Lesser Antilles late Sunday or Monday. Tropical storm watches were in place in Barbados, St. Lucia, Martinique, St. Martin, St. Barthelemy, Saba and St. Eustatius, according to the hurricane center. A west-northwest trajectory would steer this disturbance into an area that won't really favor any tropical development.
Hurricane Beryl weakened and was downgraded to a tropical storm on Saturday as it headed toward the Lesser Antilles.
The small storm system is expected to continue picking up steam over the next couple of days and is forecast to soon reach 100 miles per hour.
By the time it reaches the central Caribbean Tuesday, the storm system could dissipate into a just an area of low pressure. In 2005, Hurricane Wilma struck South Florida's west coast in late October.
The National Hurricane Center's list of names for the 2018 hurricane season are: Alberto, Beryl, Chris, Debby, Ernesto, Florence, Gordon, Helene, Isaac, Joyce, Kirk, Leslie, Michael, Nadine, Oscar, Patty, Rafael, Sara, Tony, Valerie and William. A faster westward to west-northwestward motion is expected to begin over the weekend and continue through early next week.
The storm is one of two that forecasters have been watching over the last week.
We are tracking 2 tropical systems in the Atlantic basin. Anything more than that is considered a tropical storm.
The National Hurricane Center will issue a complete advisory at 5 p.m. Saturday. From 1950 through 2017, the average number of named storms has been 11 (though from 1981-2010, the average has been 12).