Don't Do Business With Iran, Bolton Warns Euro Firms
May 14 2018
"The Prime Minister reiterated the government's position on the Irannuclear deal, noting that we and our European partners remain firmly committed to ensuring the deal is upheld, as the best way of preventing Iran from developing a nuclear weapon", a spokesman said.
In Berlin, Economy Minister Peter Altmaier said Germany was ready to give help to its affected firms, including legal advice, to continue doing business in Iran. Alternatively, Iran could resume its nuclear activities unfettered - either gradually or rapidly - and even withdraw from the Treaty on the Nonproliferation of Nuclear Weapons, making it a far more risky actor in a volatile region.
It reiterated that Iran was preparing to resume "industrial-scale" uranium enrichment "without any restrictions" unless Europe provided solid guarantees that it could maintain trade ties despite renewed United States sanctions.
Trump's decision clearly opens a hard, unpredictable and complex road ahead if the world is to forge new arrangements that will genuinely end the Iranian nuclear threat, and constrain Iran's other destablising behaviours. So, the second choice above is not applicable.
The Iran Deal is a bad deal for America and a bad deal for our allies. Obama gave them billions to continue their programs in secret.
But Trump has changed the nature of the game.
Iran will never stop trying to create nuclear weapons so that is not the issue.
The unfufilled promise of a more prosperous era has gnawed away at Iranians ever since the decades-old global sanctions that they suffered under were lifted in 2015.
At this stage, however, a transatlantic dialogue with the Trump administration on the future of the Iran deal seems futile.
For Iran's theocracy, getting the ultimate destructive weapon and expanding their sphere of power are a matter of policy and destiny. You must deal through strength.
If Iran were to now reject the expanded inspections along with the rest of the deal, if it were to take the next step and kick IAEA inspectors out of the country, it would undoubtedly be taken as proof that the Iranians are racing to build a bomb.
Trump's decision to scrap the Iran deal and reimpose sanctions has thrown the bourgeois nationalist Iranian regime into crisis.
"The whole process has culminated in this", Rhode told Xinhua, "Certainly Netanyahu played a part - they think very much alike and understand each other". Trump's strength was that he did not need unity, Beyer added.
Appeasement only feeds aggression.
In the same vein, at the end of April, Trump National Security Adviser John Bolton announced that he aspired to the "Libya model" for North Korean nuclear disarmament.
Obama has already given Iran tons of cash.
"One relative said he could see himself taking money out of the bank because he's anxious about banks going bankrupt", said Iran analyst and curator of the Iranist newsletter Holly Dagres. "They have always been after toppling of Iran's regime and this exit is in line with that aim", he said on Friday. And, then again, renewed sanctions might prod Iran to forsake its nuclear ambitions.
If we don't stand up to genocidal regimes who have explicitly threatened us & our allies with "death" we embolden them to attack & kill us. Of all the bad decisions Trump has made as president, this is the most risky. He also suggested giving Europe more "financial independence" from the U.S., including by establishing a body to oversee European trade with Iran, and an agency tasked with following the activities of foreign companies.
Now President Trump has ceded the moral high ground and freed Iran from all those constraints. European leaders have begun talking about implementing such measures, but the reality is that they can not completely insulate companies from USA penalties.